NFL Week 1 Previews: Jaguars Host Underdog Broncos in Tebow’s Homecoming

September 9th, 2010 – by Alex

The Denver Broncos and Jacksonville Jaguars kick off their respective 2010 NFL campaigns in Jacksonville on Sunday. Both teams will need to get off to a good start if they are to erase last year’s failures.

Coming off a season where the Broncos failed to make the playoffs, particularly going a horrendous 2-8 after their bye week, look for the team to come out with something to prove against the Jaguars. Offensively, the Broncos are putting all of their eggs in the Kyle Orton basket to start the season. Still, Denver isn’t making Orton’s life any easier considering that with the departure of Brandon Stokley, the team’s receiving hopes ride on Brandon Lloyd’s development. Aside from Lloyd, the team will also look for Eric Decker and Eddie Royal to step up in this department. While this will be a homecoming for Tim Tebow, there is little chance he will get a chance to play in this affair unless the Broncos a relying upon a QB sneak for a 1st down or TD.

Defensively, the Broncos will try to improve off a poor 2009-10 campaign despite the loss of star pash rusher, Elvis Dumervil. With the defense being their main focus in terms of what they’ve been trying to improve during the offseason, it’s clear that they recognize that it was the team’s defense that carried them to a 6-0 record through six games before the eventual drop off.

Meanwhile, the Jaguars are going to try to get the season off on the right foot behind superstar running back, Maurice Jones-Drew. With Jones-Drew being a point of stability for the team, quarterback, David Garrard will do his best to utilize Sims-Walker, Marcedes Lewis and Zach Miller. Also, look for what undrafted running back, Chad Kackert is able to do this season.

The Jaguars defense will also look to rebound from last year’s performance in which they average 23.8 points per game. Aaron Kampman was brought in during the offseason in an attempt to solve the team’s obvious pass-rushing woes. An improved defense will be key to any success this team can hope to have in 2010-11.

Game Betting Lines: The betting lines for this game are a bit tricky. The Jaguars will defend their home field as 3 point favorites. This number can be deceiving because even though the Jaguars are favored on the betting lines, picking them to cover the 3 points isn’t favored as evidenced by the bet payouts. For the Jaguars to cover the 3 points, the bet pays +110 or $1.10 to every $1 bet. For the Broncos to beat the spread, the pays -130 or $.70 for every $1 bet.

The over/under total for this game has been set at 40 points with both parties paying -110.

Against The Spread Betting Trends: The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings between the Jaguars and Broncos. Further, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between the two. Contrasting the last trend, the Jaguars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 NFL Week One Matchups.

Straight Up Betting Trends: The Broncos are 1-4 SU against the Jaguars in their last 5 meetings, however the Jaguars are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.

Over/Under Betting Trends: One convincing trend is the Broncos last 5 games going to the over. Beyond that, in their last 10 September games, the Over is 7-3.

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