Kansas City Chiefs A Touchdown Favorite Over Buffalo Bills
October 26th, 2010-  By Bryan Cross

The Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs face off in Week Eight of the NFL Season. For the Chiefs, they got a win after a Bye week to extend their lead in the AFC West division.  For the Bills, they pushed the Baltimore Ravens to overtime, but came up just short in a loss that would have given the team their first win of the season.

The Bills held an early lead over the Ravens this past Sunday going into halftime, but lost in the third quarter before executing an important drive at the end of regulation to tie and and send the game into overtime.  Baltimore proved to be a little too much for Buffalo to handle however, winning the game 37-34 behind a field goal in overtime.  The Bills (0-6) are still searching for that first win, but the game against the Ravens, if nothing else, proves that they are capable of putting points on the board against a good defense.

On the other side of the ball, the Chiefs rebounded from two-straight losses to win going-away against Jacksonville on Sunday 42-20.  It was a solid performance on both the offensive and defensive sides of the ball, as Kansas City may have silenced doubters who felt their three-game winning streak to start the season may have been a bit of a fluke.  It looks to be that Kansas City is for real, and may in fact be the team to beat in the AFC West.

Looking ahead at this one for the Chiefs on offense, Kansas City racked up 236 yards rushing behind Thomas Jones and Jamaal Charles.  Jones tabbed 125 yards and a touchdown, while Charles rushed for 70 yards and a touchdown as well.  Through the air, quarterback Matt Cassel was efficient, completing 13 of 18 passes for 190 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions.  Look for the Chiefs to try and run the ball on a defense that ranks last in the league against the run in Buffalo.  Kansas City should have a distinct advantage in this department, and must exploit the run defense of the Bills.

For the Bills on defense, the duo of Charles and Jones can potentially present real problems.  If Buffalo is unable to stop them with seven and eight in the box, they will be forced to commit solely to stopping the run, which would leave the door open for Cassel.  Fortunately for the Bills, Cassel has not been overly impressive this season, and Buffalo might be able to send an extra man in the box to stop the run.

Offensively for the Bills, they will likely rely on their run game behind Fred Jackson and C.J Spiller.  Jackson and Spiller combined to run for over 100 yards on a tough Ravens defense.  Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 3474 yards and four touchdown against Baltimore, but did have two interceptions.  Against Kansas City, they will get a defense that ranks in the top-10 against the run however.

On defense for the Chiefs, they are better against the run than against the pass, which could still play into their hands if they can shut down Spiller and Jackson.  Fitzpatrick though has shown the ability to stretch field and throw for touchdowns, as his confidence builds as a full-time starter.

Game Line-

USA Online Sportsbooks have set Kansas City as a 7.5-point favorite in this NFL Week 8 Match up, with the over/under sitting at 44.5 points.

ATS Betting Trends-

Buffalo is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.  The Bills are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games against teams with a winning record. Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Over/Under Betting Trends-

Head-to-head, the Under is 7-1 in their last eight match ups.

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