Favre & Vikings (+3) Return To Lambeau As Underdogs Against Stumbling Packers

October 24th, 2010 – by Alex

The Brett Favre-led Minnesota Vikings (2-3) will travel to Green Bay to take on the Packers (3-3) in a highly anticipated match-up of teams whose seasons haven’t been going according to plan. Sunday Night Football is sure to be great this week with this great NFL week 7 matchup. As always, kickoff will occur approximately 8:20pm EST and coverage can be seen exclusively on NBC.

The Packers are returning to the field a week after falling to the Miami Dolphins in overtime. Originally considered Super Bowl contenders, injuries have absolutely ravaged this team to the tune of nine players lost for the year and nine more who are questionable for this Sunday’s match-up.

Injuries really came into play last week when without tackle, Mark Tauscher, quarterback Aaron Rodgers got destroyed by the Dolphins’ pass rushers. For the year, the Packers QB has 1546 passing yards, 10 touchdowns and seven interceptions. The story of the season, though, is his poor pass protection which has resulted in 14 sacks on the year. The running game is equally injury-impacted as Brandon Jackson and John Kuhn have both attempted to fill the void left behind by Ryan Grant. Jackson and Kuhn each only have one touchdown on the season. The final hit to the offense came on the receiving end as Jermichael Finley was ruled out for the year in Week 5. In turn, Rodgers will now have to force more balls into receivers, Donald Driver and Greg Jennings. On the year, Driver has 28 catches and three touchdowns while Jennings has pitched in four touchdowns on 15.8 yards per catch.

Defensively, the depleted unit is rallying around A.J. Hawk who leads the way with 49 tackles, and Charles Woodson who has 39 tackles. Clay Matthews has been key in disrupting opposing offenses with his eight and a half sacks on the year, while Tramon Williams leads Green Bay with two interceptions. Defense will be key against the Vikings as they have to buckle down on the 328 yards and 19 points they’ve been allowing their opponents. Because of their lack of a running attack, the burden will fall on A.J. Hawk and company to keep Favre and Adrian Peterson bottled up for a quiet game.

Meanwhile, the Vikings are coming off a much-needed victory over the Dallas Cowboys last week. With 11 games left in the year, Minnesota will hope to build some momentum and make a strong push for the playoffs despite Favre’s nagging injuries and off-the-field distractions.

Thus far, Vikings quarterback, Favre, has completed nearly 59 percent of his passes for a total of 979 yards, six touchdowns and seven interceptions. Holding on to the ball too long has been a problem this year, and in large part because of his own doing he’s racked up 13 sacks on the season. Running back, Peterson, is doing everything in his power to carry the team’s offense with 533 yards and four touchdowns thus far on the year. Receiver, Percy Harvin has racked up 20 catches for three touchdowns so far, however, Randy Moss is obviously becoming Favre’s No. 1 option. In his first two games, Moss has caught nine passes and freed up the rest of the receiving group to do work.

Defensively, Chad Greenway is averaging a little over 10 tackles per game with 51 on the season. However, the usually aggressive Vikings defense is struggling accumulating sacks this year as Jared Allen leads the way with six. E.J. Henderson, coming off his injured campaign from 2009 is leading the way with two of the team’s four interceptions on the year. As a group, the Vikings defense is allowing almost 18 points per game and nearly 295 yards. In order to beat the Packers, Minnesota will need to air the ball out and take advantage of all of Green Bay’s injuries. A lack of depth on the Packers side will allow the Vikings to wear them towards the end of the game.

NFL Game Lines: With the home field advantage, the Packers are a 3 point home favorite for this match-up as per the current NFL Week 7 Betting Odds. Additionally, USA Online Sportsbooks like Bodog have set the over/under at a total of 44.5 points for the game. Green Bay is entering this game at 2-4 against the spread while the Vikings sport a 3-2 overall against the spread record.

NFL ATS Betting Trends: The Packers are 5-1-1 ATS when they play a team with a losing record and 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games against the NFC North. Meanwhile, the Vikings are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against the NFC North and 3-12-2 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of up to three points.

Head to Head NFL Betting Trends: In their last 10 meetings in Green Bay, the Vikings are 8-2 ATS. Furthermore, the road team is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings but, and underdog is 17-5 ATS in the last 22 games. All head to head betting trends are in favor of the Minnesota Vikings.

See more NFL Betting Trends

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