NFL Week 4 Match Ups: New York Jets A Favorite Over Buffalo Bills
September 29th, 2010-  By Bryan Cross

After a shaky start to the season in week one, the New York Jets seem to be firing on cylinders heading into week four of the 2010 NFL Season, fresh off two-straight AFC East wins.  That streak could continue, as the Jets meet division rival Buffalo.

Last week, Jets quarterback Mark Sanchez threw three touchdowns for the second-straight week en route to a 31-23 victory over the Miami Dolphins on the road.  It has been a night-and-day difference for Sanchez and the New York offense from the preseason and week one of the regular season, in which they managed just nine points.  The Jets have put up 28 and 31 points respectively over the course of the last two games.

On the other side of the ball, the Bills have yet to win a game at 0-3 and still find themselves struggling at quarterback and on offense.  Buffalo released quarterback Trent Edwards this week, who was claimed on waivers by Jacksonville.  The Bills turned to Ryan Fitzpatrick last week, who seemed to create a spark in putting up 30 points in a losing effort against the New England Patriots.  Buffalo will get a stiff test defensively from the Jets, and if the Bills continue to struggle on offense it could be a long day.

Looking ahead at this one, look for Sanchez and the offense to continue expanding the pass game and throwing it down the field on the vulnerable Buffalo secondary.  The Bills defense surrendered 245 yards passing and three touchdowns to Tom Brady a week ago, so Jets head coach Rex Ryan knows that the potential is there.  Running back Shonn Greene has yet to have a breakout game, but if the passing game keeps performing as it has, that should open up holes on the line for New York.  LaDainian Tomlinson has picked up a lot of the slack in the running game however.

For the Bills defensively, getting pressure on Sanchez and forcing him to make low-percentage throws will be important if the Bills are to get there first win in the 2010 NFL Season.  Stopping the run will also be at a premium, even though Greene has yet to play as expected consistently.

On offense for Buffalo, they had their best output of the season last week in putting up 30 points.  The only problem was that they gave up 38 points.  Fitzpatrick won’t have to worry about Edwards breathing down his neck this week, and will likely get a longer leash than his former teammate.

The Jets defense is one of the best in the NFL, and they know it.  Expect them to blitz and try and get pressure on Fitzpatrick, as they are confident in their secondary to take on all receivers in man coverage.

Game Line-

USA Online Sportsbooks have set New York as a five-point favorite in this NFL Week 4 Match Up.

ATS Betting Trends-

The Jets are 2-10 ATs in their last 12 October games.  New York is 7-2 ATS in their last nine against the AFC.  Buffalo is 3-14 ATS in their last 14 home games.  The underdog in this match up is 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games.

Over/Under Betting Trends-

The Over is 9-3-1 in the Jets’ last 13 games against the AFC.  the Under is 9-3 in Buffalo’s last 12 home games.

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